ISAFE-VATES Applications : Summary

35+ years of cross-cultural research and academic experience in flight M&S for safety (1977-2014): USSR/Russia, UK, USA.

30+ vehicle types and projects studied, including: subsonic airplanes (20), supersonic airplanes (4), hypersonic aerospace vehicles (2), helicopters (3), tilt-rotorcraft (1), UAV (1), UUV (1), and WIG vehicle (1).

30+ research collaborators, customers, and partner organizations (1977-2014).

500+ complex flight situation scenario types studied and some 40 operational factor types examined.

50+ practical problems solved in 1977-2013 using the developed methodology in the areas of aircraft flight safety, flight dynamics, and piloting.

M&S research for safety is implemented as an integrated standardized cycle:

research task formulation → mathematical model, algorithms and data structures development → software programming / tuning up → M&S experimentation → M&S data analysis → knowledge mining & mapping → report writing.

A good match has been achieved between simulated and real flight data – comparisons are based on flight test and/or accident/ incident records.

240+ publications and manuscripts: national and international conference papers, presentations, invited lectures/talks, lecture notes, etc. (France, Germany, Italy, PRC, Russia, UK, USA, and ex-USSR).

3 full-time academic courses (8 years), 2 short-term courses, many student projects, course works, B.Sc., M.Sc. and Ph.D. theses (USA, Latvia, Russia).

Recognition on national and international levels (selected examples):

  • Formulation of the Flight Safety Analysis Module (virtual flight test, analysis and prediction) for (N+3)-generation civil aircraft design & technology assessment methodology (NASA Langley VAB, USA, 2010),
  • Development of Draft Technical Requirements for flight M&S tools (safety risks analysis, accident prediction/prevention and pilot training) in support of the Flight Safety Management System for Russian governmental aviation (RGAFSA, Russia, 2012),

Formulation of key R&D Avenues (topics: prototyping of intelligent avionics for built-in flight safety, accident-free control and pilot assistance; development and application of next-generation flight M&S tools) for the Russian National Aviation Technology Foresight 2030 – Draft (TsAGI, Russia, 2012).

Vehicles Simulated Using VATES Tool and its Prototypes (1977-2013)



Photo Gallery of Simulated Aircraft (Selection)


Sources of images:,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,_Russia_State_Transport_Company_AN1672698.jpg,,,,,,


Accident Reconstruction and ‘What-if Neighborhood’ Analysis Under Uncertainty








Reconstruction of Flight Test Regimes For Turboprop Airplane


XV-15 Tilt-Rotor Auto-Rotation Landing with Two Engines Out and Piloting Tactics Variations (V-22 accident analysis)




Exploration of New Acrobatic Maneuvers for TVC-Equipped Notional 4++ Generation Fighter (Georgia Tech, 2000)







Simulation of Future Large Aircraft (FLA F-93A Project) Rough Landing Under Strong Wind-Shear and Heavy Rain Conditions



Fast-Time Simulation, Mapping and Screening of Compleх Flight Domains Using Multifactor Situational Trees



Determination of Optimal (Safest) Flightpath Angle in Steep Turn using Situation Complexity Build-up Diagrams



Qualitative and Quantitative Comparative Analysis of Complex Flight Domains Using Integral Safety Spectra (Example)



Visual Analytics using ‘Bird’s Eye View’ Family of Safety Windows – 3D Safety Window



Visual Analytics using 3D Safety Windows and Safety Chances Distribution Pie Charts




ISAFE-VATES Based Projects Accomplished in 2007-2013

  • Technical Requirements Specification (draft) of the generalized ‘pilot – automaton – aircraft – operating environment’ system dynamics model as a risk analysis/prediction and pilot training tool in support of the Flight Safety Management System for Russian governmental aviation (Russian Governmental Aviation Flight Safety Agency, 2012).
  • Formulation of key R&D avenues (research into AI avionics for accident-free flight control and built-in safety protection, next-generation flight M&S tools) for the ‘Foresight 2030 on National Aviation S&T Development’ – draft (TsAGI, Russia, 2012).
  • ‘Computational Dynamics of Controlled Flight’ Lecture Course at Novosibirsk State Technical University (NSTU, Russia, 2006-2013).
  • Research into potential application of Thrust Vectoring Control (TVC) to Next-Generation Civil Transport Aircraft (NASA Langley VAB, USA, 2010).
  • Flight safety analysis and prediction module in (N+3)-generation world transport aircraft research and development methodology (NASA Langley VAB, USA, 2010).
  • The system level concept ‘The Establishment of the Scientific-Technologic and Academic Environment Aimed at the Development of Small Robotic Systems for Continental Shelf Exploration and Protection in Russian Federation’ aimed to be presented at the governmental level (SibGUTI, Russia, 2010).
  • Reconstruction and ‘what-if’ analysis of a flight accident involved Tupolev-134 airplane during takeoff with left-hand engine out at VR under combined (cross-wind, possible pilot errors, and engine thrust shortage) conditions (RGAFSA, Russia, 2007).
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